Cut budget, halve VAT on oil to end pump pain

Fuel protests

Protesters in Kitengela light bonfires and barricade roads during national protests against rising fuel prices on May 18, 2026.

Photo credit: Dennis Onsongo | Nation Media Group

It is now clear that the Iran war will have a huge effect on global oil markets and prices over the next year.

In fact, oil market analysts project that even if the war ended today, it would take at least six months for the situation to stabilise – pump prices and global benchmarks to get to pre-war levels.

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Note: The results are not exact but very close to the actual.