Capital Markets

Sh13bn bad loan provision cuts lift bank profits

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Central Bank of Kenya. FILE PHOTO | NMG

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Summary

  • KCB, Equity, Co-op Bank, I&M, Absa Bank Kenya, NCBA, Standard Chartered Bank Kenya, DTB, and Stanbic Holdings cumulatively cut the provisions from Sh40.13 billion booked in June last year to Sh26.68 billion.
  • The reduction in provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs) comes in an environment of relaxed Covid-19 control measures such as curfews, lockdowns, and closure of bars and restaurants.

Kenya’s top nine listed banks slashed their provisions for loan defaults by a third in six months to June, defying Covid-19 hardships to raise their combined net earnings 72.5 percent to Sh66.5 billion.

KCB #ticker:KCB, Equity #ticker:EQTY, Co-op Bank #ticker:COOP, I&M #ticker:I&M, Absa Bank Kenya #ticker:ABSA, NCBA #ticker:NCBA, Standard Chartered Bank Kenya #ticker:SCBK, DTB #ticker:DTK, and Stanbic Holdings #ticker:SBIC cumulatively cut the provisions from Sh40.13 billion booked in June last year to Sh26.68 billion—representing Sh13.45 billion or a 33.5 percent cut.

The reduction in provisions for non-performing loans (NPLs) comes in an environment of relaxed Covid-19 control measures such as curfews, lockdowns, and closure of bars and restaurants, which have helped improve the fortunes of individuals and companies.

Equity, which emerged top in profit standings, cut its provisions by Sh5.11 billion followed by KCB (Sh4.44 billion), Absa Kenya (Sh3.44 billion), and NCBA (Sh1.71 billion).

Only Co-op and I&M bucked the trend, with Sh2.29 billion and Sh22.14 million rises in provisions respectively.

The combined cuts are in contrast with June last year when the nine banks increased NPL provisions 263.4 percent to Sh40 billion from the pre-pandemic Sh11 billion reported in June 2019.

The nine banks saw their net profits rise by Sh27.89 billion to Sh66.49 billion— an indication that they are weathering the Covid-19 storm. Their net tax profit for 2019 half year was Sh54.68 billion.

Lower provisions have the effect of supporting the bottom-line while increasing the capital base and have seen banks such as NCBA and Stanbic pay interim dividends while others are projecting payouts at the end of the year.

Part of the cuts in provisions is explained by the fact that much of the expected default linked to Covid-19 had been made last year.

The nine banks had last year increased provisions for NPLs by Sh77.3 billion or 239 percent in the year ended December, cutting their combined net earnings by a quarter to Sh81.2 billion.

KCB and Equity, for instance, said there was no need for a further increase in provisioning since Covid-19-related impairments had been recognised last year.

“We took the necessary provisions last year and did overlays to protect us since we did not have all information on how Covid-19 was going to pan out,” said Lawrence Kimathi, chief finance officer at KCB.

“We have seen positive vibes coming out of the economy and that number (level of provisioning) speaks to that.”

Relaxed Covid-19 control measures such as reduced curfew hours, movement across counties, and expanded operating hours for bars and hotels have helped many sectors to recover.

The softened measures have offered a boost to sectors such as aviation, tourism, manufacturing, and hospitality, allowing them to repay loans and tap into fresh credit to fund recovery and growth.

Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) data shows that commercial banks’ six-month profits before tax jumped 61 percent to Sh96.4 billion—the all-time high.

The half-year earnings for 2021 have now surpassed the pre-Covid high of Sh85.8 billion recorded in the first six months of 2019.

Banks had restructured loans amounting to Sh1.7 trillion—accounting for 57 percent of the banking sector’s gross loans—between March last year and February 2021 when the emergency measures came to an end.

However, many banks have been reporting that at least 80 percent of the restructured loan book is being repaid, pointing to an improving health of the economy that has boosted the financial standing of individuals and businesses.

Equity Group CEO James Mwangi said the lender cut loan loss provision from Sh8 billion to Sh2.9 billion since there was already a Sh27 billion provision that was made on the entire loan book last year to factor in Covid-19 risk.

“The results confirm that the provisions we made were more than enough as coverage remained over 100 percent and we do not see any risk going into the future because out of the entire Sh171 billion that we isolated most of it has bounced back to performing,” said Mr Mwangi.

The proportion of NPLs to the banking sector loan book stood at 14 percent last month—the lowest in eight months—helped by repayments and recoveries. It was at 13.6 percent in October last year.

The Central Bank of Kenya said last month that manufacturing, agriculture, trade, and real estate had led debt repayments and recoveries.

Loan defaults had jumped for months at the onset of the Covid pandemic in Kenya, indicating the difficulties that befell borrowers due to the economic disruptions that followed.

The gradual reopening of the economy, coupled with continuing mass vaccinations, could further brighten the business outlook in the coming months.