Why Kenya’s wealth fund plan fails basic fiscal test

There is a mismatch in the ambition to establish the SWF, and the fragile fiscus in Kenya. The relevant economic preconditions to create a fund to store public savings is undermined by persistent deficits and growing debt.

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Kenyans understand that in 2026, despite bold efforts to raise revenues, the government is actively borrowing to finance operations. Faced with that reality, it has no justification creating a savings account.

Yet that is precisely what is being attempted with the proposed Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF).

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Note: The results are not exact but very close to the actual.