Why Treasury projects more interest rate cuts

The National Treasury head office in Nairobi.

Photo credit: File I Nation Media Group

The Treasury expects interest rates to decline further this year despite a widening budget deficit that will see the projected net borrowing from the domestic market cross the Sh1 trillion mark for the first time in the upcoming 2026/2027 fiscal year.

The government’s increased borrowing appetite would ordinarily yield upward pressure in interest rates, but a liquid money market and Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) rate cuts saw returns from government securities fall last year.

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